Latest Articles


A pollster critiques Nate Silver

Professional pundits, conservative blowhards, and the math-challenged — sometimes one-in-the-same — went after New York Times blogger Nate Silver hard during the presidential race.
Survey Says
By DAVID SCHARFENBERG  |  December 14, 2012

Election Spectacular!

Our guide to the polls — local,  state, and national
Our guide to the polls — local,  state, and national
By PORTLAND PHOENIX STAFF  |  November 02, 2012

Inevitability at the ballot box

Five weeks. Five weeks of polls, attack ads, debates, and stump speeches.
More than a month left, with nowhere to go
By DEIRDRE FULTON  |  October 05, 2012

Who passed voter ID?

Two months ago Hans von Spakovsky of the conservative Heritage Foundation, de facto apologist for a new wave of conservative-inspired voter ID laws, appeared on PBS NewsHour to defend the cause.

By DAVID SCHARFENBERG  |  May 18, 2012

Democrats are gleeful over Mitt Romney’s bruising primary path, but Romney is still the fight Barack Obama doesn’t want

Back in mid January, when the presidential primary season began and interest in the Republican candidates spread beyond the tight community of political junkies, Mitt Romney's previously untarnished reputation with the general public took a nasty turn.
Bland ambition
By DAVID S. BERNSTEIN  |  March 16, 2012

Don't tell me what to do

Welcome to the 2012 Republican Party caucus for the town of East Abunni, Maine.
Straw polls
By AL DIAMON  |  March 02, 2012


After another dismal poll, Cicilline’s (narrow) path to victory

Another week, another God-awful poll for freshman Congressman David Cicilline. The latest: a WPRI-TV-commissioned survey that found voters favoring Republican challenger Brendan Doherty 49 to 34 percent in a head-to-head matchup.
Survey Says
By DAVID SCHARFENBERG  |  March 02, 2012

And We're Back...

Not for Nothing is back after a New Year's hiatus. Happy 2012, people. A few political/media notes and Occupy ruminations as we get back into...
By David Scharfenberg  |  January 03, 2012

New Poll Shows Broad Support for Pension Reform

A new poll from EngageRI, a coalition of businesses, trade asscoations, and social services agencies, finds three-quarters of Rhode Island voters support pension reform along...
By David Scharfenberg  |  October 06, 2011

Taveras' Middling Poll Numbers

A new poll out of Brown's Taubman Center reinforces an ironclad rule of politics: it's the economy. Providence Mayor Angel Taveras has received glowing press...
By David Scharfenberg  |  September 29, 2011

The GOP's Shift

New York Times columnist David Brooks has an interesting piece today on why we need to take Texas Governor Rick Perry's presidential ambitions seriously. Among...
By David Scharfenberg  |  August 26, 2011

Registration day blues

When it comes to politicians debating important issues, I prefer them to get down and dirty.
Registering on election day
By AL DIAMON  |  July 08, 2011

New Poll: Sales Tax, Cicilline, Labor

A new, wide-ranging Brown University poll is out. Among the highlights: mixed views on Governor Chafee's sales tax proposal (lowering the rate from 7 to...
By David Scharfenberg  |  March 24, 2011

Gay Marriage and Polling

A new poll from Democratic firm Public Policy Polling has 50 percent of Rhode Islanders favoring same-sex marriage and 41 percent opposed. It's a good number...
By David Scharfenberg  |  February 23, 2011

Caprio's Steep Climb

The results of the recent WPRI-TV poll, when reviewed in detail, show just what a climb Democratic gubernatorial candidate Frank Caprio faces on Election Day....
By David Scharfenberg  |  November 01, 2010

Reader reactions to the Portland Phoenix endorsements

I don't mind you endorsing the Oxford casino but I would have expected a more informed decision.
Letters to the Portland Editor, October 29, 2010
By PORTLAND PHOENIX LETTERS  |  October 29, 2010


Nine things to watch for on Election Day

It is, perhaps, a sign of a troubling derangement. But I'll say it anyway: I'm going to miss this election season when it's over.  
Solidarity forever! Tea Party froth! Providence Rising!
By DAVID SCHARFENBERG  |  October 29, 2010

Roly-Poly Polling

My question, which I've been asking people the past several days, is: Why did the Charlie Baker camp push out "evidence" that their candidate is leading?...
By David S. Bernstein  |  October 18, 2010

The Polls Continue

Rhode Island's bumper crop of political polls is about to grow even more robust. Brown University's Taubman Center, which came under some criticism for its...
By David Scharfenberg  |  October 04, 2010

WPRI Poll Coming

Rhode Island's pundit class may have been flying blind in the run-up to the primaries, with little in the way of public polls to digest....
By David Scharfenberg  |  September 29, 2010

The Other News in the WJAR Poll

A new WJAR poll is getting attention for a finding that has Democratic gubernatorial candidate Frank Caprio with a commanding lead over independent Lincoln Chafee. The...
By David Scharfenberg  |  September 21, 2010

In the Phoenix: A Pundit Class Flying Blind

In this week's Phoenix, I've got a piece that tackles the public opinion poll in the context of this year's elections. Two points: a lack...
By David Scharfenberg  |  September 15, 2010

An angry electorate? Eh, whatever

Whither the rage? Rhode Island's Great Recession — greater, even, than the national model — was supposed to conjure a once-in-a-generation anti-incumbent fever. But so far, it's looking more like a modest headache.
Dud Dept.
By DAVID SCHARFENBERG  |  August 20, 2010

Perry Claims Lead Over Malone

Despite a barrage of tough stories questioning his role in strip-search incidents, state representative Jeff Perry holds a 16-point lead over former state treasurer Joe...
By David S. Bernstein  |  June 25, 2010

In RI: Tea Party vs. Obama

A new Rasmussen poll is getting some attention because it shows Democrat Frank Caprio running nack-and-neck with independent Lincoln Chafee in the gubernatorial race. The...
By David Scharfenberg  |  April 27, 2010

Brown Poll: Chafee Up, Electorate Angry

A new poll out of Brown University this morning has independent Lincoln Chafee leading the gubernatorial race and the electorate down on incumbents. The poll...
By David Scharfenberg  |  February 23, 2010

Kennedy's Poll Numbers

The WPRI poll released last night is, undoubtedly, bad news for Representative Patrick Kennedy. The poll found 35 percent of voters statewide giving him good...
By David Scharfenberg  |  February 05, 2010
Race and polling: it's complex

Race and polling: it's complex

  Some in the media, including WPRO's Dan Yorke, have made reference to the "Bradley effect" theory that Barack Obama's poll ratings could be inflated by...
By Ian Donnis  |  October 14, 2008
Polling firm adds jobs in Warwick

Polling firm adds jobs in Warwick

Opinion Factor, a Utah-based marketing and opinion research service, is holding a ribbon-cutting today to formally announce its establishment of a facility in Warwick. The...
By Ian Donnis  |  October 08, 2008